Steve Bruce

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Congratulations Bulls!

Congrats, bulls! After dipping below its 200-day moving average on March 10th, the S&P 500 reclaimed it yesterday—just 14 days later. Historically, that’s a fast recovery. Since 1970, outside of recessions, the S&P 500 has typically spent 23 days below the 200-day after crossing it, making this snapback notably swift. Even more impressive? The gains. […]
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Recession or Just a Market Correction? The Answer Matters.

Do you believe there has been—or soon will be—a significant, broad-based decline in economic activity lasting more than a few months? If so, you think we’re either in a recession or heading toward one. That’s not just opinion—that’s the official definition used by the National Bureau of Economic Research, the organization that formally declares recessions […]
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Seasonality & the Stock Market: A Turning Point Ahead?

Market performance often follows seasonal patterns—known as seasonality—which, while not a stand-alone strategy, can offer valuable context for investors. Historically, stocks rally after the new year, peak by mid-February, and weaken until mid-March. Then? A sustained move higher. This year, the S&P 500 peaked on February 19 and has been declining since. If history repeats, […]
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Here Comes Black Monday?

A hot topic this weekend has been whether we’re in for a Black Monday-style crash following Friday’s aggressive selloff. For those unfamiliar, Black Monday refers to October 19, 1987, when the S&P 500 plunged over 20% in a single day—still the largest one-day drop in market history. This has fueled the old Wall Street saying: […]
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Is the S&P 500 really the only game in town?

We’ve all heard it: “Just buy an S&P 500 ETF, and you’re set.” There’s no denying that U.S. large caps have dominated for the past decade. But what if I told you that a non-crypto, mainstream, easily investable commodity has actually outperformed the S&P 500—even on a total return basis—over the past three years? The […]
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