A hot topic this weekend has been whether we’re in for a Black Monday-style crash following Friday’s aggressive selloff. For those unfamiliar, Black Monday refers to October 19, 1987, when the S&P 500 plunged over 20% in a single day—still the largest one-day drop in market history. This has fueled the old Wall Street saying: […]
We’ve all heard it: “Just buy an S&P 500 ETF, and you’re set.” There’s no denying that U.S. large caps have dominated for the past decade. But what if I told you that a non-crypto, mainstream, easily investable commodity has actually outperformed the S&P 500—even on a total return basis—over the past three years? The […]
It feels like small-cap stocks can’t catch a break compared to their large-cap counterparts—and recent history seems to agree. Over the past four years, large caps have outperformed small caps every single year. In fact, 2024 was especially striking, with large caps outpacing small caps by a whopping 13.3%—the largest gap since 1998. Looking back […]
With the S&P 500 closing January in the green, a powerful historical precedent was triggered—one known as the January Effect. Made famous by Yale Hirsch in the Stock Trader’s Almanac, this market phenomenon suggests: “As January goes, so goes the rest of the year.” Historically, when January is positive, the full year tends to follow […]
After steadily cooling through 2023 and 2024, inflation—measured by Core PCE—has begun trending higher again. On Friday, Core PCE came in at 2.79% year-over-year, marking the third straight month of elevated levels. While still below its long-term average, rising inflation can create headwinds for risk assets. What is Core PCE? It’s the Federal Reserve’s preferred […]